Normally by mid-September most of the monsoon activity has petered out, but recently parts of the desert southwest got pounded by storms from the remnants of Pacific Hurricane Norbert, and now Tropical Storm Odile has crawled up Baja towards Arizona.
Forecasters are predicting some major rain in parts of our state and warning people to use extreme caution in the coming days (Sep 16 – 20, 2014).
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What the experts are saying
According to AccuWeather Western Weather Expert Ken Clark, “There is the potential for devastating, catastrophic and historic flooding in this scenario.”
The heaviest rainfall will hit the Southwestern states of Arizona and New Mexico where a general 3 to 6 inches will fall, but local amounts of 10 inches or more are possible on the slopes of the mountains. Rainfall of 1 to 2 inches per hour can occur.
There is a significant risk to lives and property in the region. “Not only will flash and urban flooding occur in this case, but there is the potential for major river flooding,” Clark said. “Travel on Interstate-10 between El Paso, Texas, and Phoenix will be dangerous.”
The National Weather Service Tucson posted the following chart on Twitter today: